Alabama St
W-L: (10-22) PR = 93.7694Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 64-** 1111 A UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 77-74 1114 A VALYN **-68 1117 H Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 66-94 1119 H Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 64-66 1121 A IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) **-80 1123 H SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 68-83 1126 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 87-93 1207 H UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 64-74 1211 H Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 77-85 1217 H Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 51-88 1222 H Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 67-88 1229 H Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 56-94 103 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 89-69 105 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) 79-90 110 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 64-75 112 A Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 81-66 119 H Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 69-73 124 A Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 95-80 127 H TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 64-96 131 H Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 54-69 202 A Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 79-66 207 H Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 47-57 209 H Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 68-69 214 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) 79-61 216 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 92-55 219 H Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 71-82 221 H Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 63-76 228 A Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 89-88 303 H Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 64-71 305 H Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 63-65 309 H Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 65-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Florida St 64-** -37 -3 0.00
1111 A UAB 77-74 3 -2 ++ 4.00
1117 H Colorado 66-94 -28 -3 0.00
1119 H Air Force 64-66 -2 0 -1.75
1121 A IUI **-80 21 0 1.78
1123 H SIUE 68-83 -15 -1 -1.29
1126 H New Mexico 87-93 -6 -3 0.00
1207 H UT Martin 64-74 -10 -1 -0.72
1211 H Missouri 77-85 -8 -4 0.00
1217 H Cincinnati 51-88 -37 -4 0.00
1222 H Memphis 67-88 -21 -2 0.00
1229 H Miss St 56-94 -38 -3 0.00
103 A Miss Val St 89-69 20 1 0.66
105 H AK-Pine Bl 79-90 -11 0 -1.58
110 H Jackson St 64-75 -11 0 -1.81
112 A Alcorn St 81-66 15 0 + 2.06
119 H Alabama A&M 69-73 -4 -1 -1.24
124 A Prairie View 95-80 15 -1 + 2.83
127 H TX Southern 64-96 -32 0 -1.76
131 H Beth-Cook 54-69 -15 -1 -0.78
202 A Florida A&M 79-66 13 -1 + 2.72
207 H Grambling St 47-57 -10 0 -1.63
209 H Southern 68-69 -1 -1 -0.10
214 A AK-Pine Bl 79-61 18 0 + 2.44
216 A Miss Val St 92-55 37 1 0.66
219 H Beth-Cook 71-82 -11 -1 -0.78
221 H Florida A&M 63-76 -13 -1 -1.30
228 A Alabama A&M 89-88 1 -1 1.78
303 H Southern 64-71 -7 -1 -1.10
305 H Grambling St 63-65 -2 0 -1.63
309 H Alcorn St 65-77 -12 0 -1.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A UAB 77-74 3 -2 ++ 4.00 112 A Alcorn St 81-66 15 0 + 2.06 124 A Prairie View 95-80 15 -1 + 2.83 202 A Florida A&M 79-66 13 -1 + 2.72 214 A AK-Pine Bl 79-61 18 0 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 64-** -2.68 4.79 -0.01 1.06 -1.43
3 A UAB (20-12, 96.2) 77-74 -3.66 3.81 0.01 1.06 8.14
3 H Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 66-94 -2.81 4.67 -0.01 1.06 -1.50
3 H Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 64-66 -5.87 1.61 -0.01 1.06 -3.13
3 A IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) **-80 -6.36 1.11 0.01 1.06 2.39
3 H SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 68-83 -5.41 2.07 -0.01 1.06 -2.88
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 87-93 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.06 -1.43
3 H UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 64-74 -4.84 2.64 -0.01 1.06 -2.58
3 H Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 77-85 -2.48 4.99 -0.01 1.06 -1.33
3 H Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 51-88 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.06 -1.35
3 H Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 67-88 -3.98 3.50 -0.01 1.06 -2.12
3 H Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 56-94 -3.20 4.28 -0.01 1.06 -1.71
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 89-69 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) 79-90 -5.70 1.78 -0.01 1.06 -3.04
3 H Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 64-75 -5.93 1.55 -0.01 1.06 -3.16
3 A Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 81-66 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.06 2.99
3 H Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 69-73 -5.36 2.11 -0.01 1.06 -2.86
3 A Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 95-80 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.06 4.64
3 H TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 64-96 -5.88 1.60 -0.01 1.06 -3.13
3 H Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 54-69 -4.90 2.58 -0.01 1.06 -2.61
3 A Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 79-66 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.06 4.40
3 H Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 47-57 -5.75 1.72 -0.01 1.06 -3.07
3 H Southern (16-18, 94.7) 68-69 -5.22 2.26 -0.01 1.06 -2.78
3 A AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) 79-61 -5.70 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.80
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 92-55 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 71-82 -4.90 2.58 -0.01 1.06 -2.61
3 H Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 63-76 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.89
3 A Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 89-88 -5.36 2.11 0.01 1.06 4.52
3 H Southern (16-18, 94.7) 64-71 -5.22 2.26 -0.01 1.06 -2.78
3 H Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 63-65 -5.75 1.72 -0.01 1.06 -3.07
3 H Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 65-77 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.06 -3.24
------
-19.53
|
winning pts = 35.1981 losing points = -54.7276
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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